Pre-tourney Rankings
Mount St. Mary's
Northeast
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.6#298
Expected Predictive Rating-10.2#307
Pace61.7#296
Improvement+2.2#81

Offense
Total Offense-6.0#301
Improvement+2.1#64

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#255
Improvement+0.1#152
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 18   @ Marquette L 37-91 2%     0 - 1 -37.0 -28.0 -8.2
  Nov 16, 2011 304   @ Hartford W 63-50 41%     1 - 1 +6.8 -10.8 +17.5
  Nov 19, 2011 233   Siena L 53-65 45%     1 - 2 -19.3 -20.7 +1.2
  Nov 21, 2011 56   @ Minnesota L 56-85 4%     1 - 3 -17.5 -7.1 -12.3
  Nov 27, 2011 323   @ Navy L 56-64 52%     1 - 4 -17.0 -14.1 -3.7
  Dec 01, 2011 227   St. Francis Brooklyn L 54-64 43%     1 - 5 0 - 1 -16.8 -15.1 -2.6
  Dec 03, 2011 162   LIU Brooklyn L 76-85 29%     1 - 6 0 - 2 -12.0 -4.6 -7.1
  Dec 07, 2011 125   @ Maryland L 74-77 9%     1 - 7 +3.3 +5.9 -2.7
  Dec 10, 2011 135   Loyola Maryland L 54-65 24%     1 - 8 -12.1 -9.1 -5.0
  Dec 18, 2011 128   @ Penn St. L 43-72 9%     1 - 9 -23.0 -20.4 -6.2
  Dec 22, 2011 187   @ Savannah St. L 41-45 16%     1 - 10 -1.9 -19.8 +17.3
  Dec 29, 2011 174   American W 49-42 32%     2 - 10 +3.1 -8.0 +13.5
  Dec 31, 2011 202   Albany L 64-65 38%     2 - 11 -6.4 -9.8 +3.4
  Jan 05, 2012 291   @ Monmouth L 59-73 34%     2 - 12 0 - 3 -18.3 -13.5 -5.3
  Jan 07, 2012 337   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 66-45 63%     3 - 12 1 - 3 +8.9 -3.7 +14.6
  Jan 12, 2012 229   Central Connecticut St. L 66-71 44%     3 - 13 1 - 4 -12.1 -9.3 -2.8
  Jan 14, 2012 339   Bryant W 64-60 84%     4 - 13 2 - 4 -15.2 -12.4 -2.4
  Jan 19, 2012 162   @ LIU Brooklyn L 62-77 13%     4 - 14 2 - 5 -11.2 -12.0 +0.7
  Jan 21, 2012 227   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 60-79 21%     4 - 15 2 - 6 -19.0 -9.2 -10.2
  Jan 26, 2012 160   @ Quinnipiac L 66-69 OT 12%     4 - 16 2 - 7 +0.9 -9.2 +10.4
  Jan 28, 2012 246   @ Sacred Heart W 81-80 2OT 25%     5 - 16 3 - 7 -0.5 -3.5 +2.9
  Feb 02, 2012 312   St. Francis (PA) W 64-51 71%     6 - 16 4 - 7 -1.4 -6.9 +7.3
  Feb 04, 2012 148   Robert Morris L 62-67 26%     6 - 17 4 - 8 -7.0 -5.5 -2.1
  Feb 08, 2012 109   Wagner L 44-59 19%     6 - 18 4 - 9 -14.3 -24.6 +9.3
  Feb 11, 2012 109   @ Wagner L 57-74 7%     6 - 19 4 - 10 -9.5 -4.7 -6.7
  Feb 16, 2012 337   Fairleigh Dickinson W 77-63 83%     7 - 19 5 - 10 -4.9 -0.2 -4.4
  Feb 18, 2012 291   Monmouth L 66-68 60%     7 - 20 5 - 11 -13.1 -5.8 -7.5
  Feb 23, 2012 229   @ Central Connecticut St. L 63-78 22%     7 - 21 5 - 12 -15.3 -2.9 -13.8
  Feb 25, 2012 339   @ Bryant W 71-62 65%     8 - 21 6 - 12 -3.4 -9.6 +6.1
Projected Record 8.0 - 21.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%